T-minus 16 days
● House // Race file
[ House // MA-01 ]
Massachusetts's 1st District
Richard Neal (D)vsNo candidate
incumbent running · Lean: D+8 · Incumbent: Richard Neal (D)
Unopposed
No Republican is on the ballot, so the seat goes to Richard Neal. The model counts it as decided.
- Seat:Unopposed
- Lean:D+8
- Incumbent:Richard Neal (D)
- District:1 of 9 in Massachusetts
- Generic ballot:D+8.2
- T-minus:16 days
▸ Margin // Uncertainty
Neal +28.6
With one side unopposed the margin is a formality.
- Projected margin
- Neal +28.6
- Uncertainty
- 6.2 points, one standard deviation
- Likely range
- Decided
- Poll average
- No polls
- Starting point
- Neal +28.6 before any polls
▸ Movement // 0 daily snapshots
Reading the history
▸ Polls // None yet
No public polls, and none needed: one side is unopposed. The model marks the seat as decided.
▸ Race file // The facts
- The seat
- Richard Neal (D), running for another term.
- On the ballot
- Richard Neal (D, incumbent) vs nobody on the Republican side
- Last time
- 2024: Richard Neal (D) took 62.6 with no Republican on the ballot.
- President
- 2024, statewide: Trump 36.0, Harris 61.2. Harris by 25.2.
- Lean
- D+8 by the Cook partisan index
Facts from Ballotpedia and Wikipedia, in our words. The district on Ballotpedia ↗
▸ Candidates // Read more
Democrat
Richard Neal
Neal on Ballotpedia ↗Republican
No candidate
Nobody on the ballot for this side.