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T-minus 16 days

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● House // Race file

[ House // CO-07 ]

Colorado's 7th District

Brittany Pettersen (D)vsTim Bennett (R)

incumbent running · Lean: D+8 · Incumbent: Brittany Pettersen (D)

99 in 100

Brittany Pettersen favored>99%

All but certain for Brittany Pettersen: a 100 percent chance of winning. No public polls yet.

  • Seat:Incumbent running
  • Lean:D+8
  • Incumbent:Brittany Pettersen (D)
  • District:7 of 8 in Colorado
  • Odds:Pettersen >99%
  • Margin:Pettersen +28.6, give or take 6.2
  • Polls:none yet, running on the fundamentals
  • Generic ballot:D+8.2
  • T-minus:16 days

▸ Margin // Uncertainty

Pettersen +28.6

The model's best guess at the final margin, give or take 6.2 points. Polls have missed by more than that before.

Projected margin
Pettersen +28.6
Uncertainty
6.2 points, one standard deviation
Likely range
Pettersen +20.7 to Pettersen +36.5 (80 percent)
Poll average
No polls
Starting point
Pettersen +28.6 before any polls

Margins read Democrat minus Republican: Pettersen ahead is positive, Bennett ahead is negative.

▸ Movement // 0 daily snapshots

Reading the history

▸ Polls // None yet

No public polls here. The number comes from the district lean (D+8, worth 13.9 points to the Democrat), the incumbent (Brittany Pettersen, running again, worth 4.8 points), and the national environment (generic ballot D+8.2, which the model reads as a 9.9 point Democratic tilt after discounting it). Together they give a projected margin of Pettersen +28.6 with an uncertainty of 6.2 points.

▸ Race file // The facts

The seat
Brittany Pettersen (D), running for another term.
On the ballot
Brittany Pettersen (D, incumbent) vs Tim Bennett (R)
Last time
2024: Democrat 55.3, Republican 41.2. Pettersen by 14.1.
President
2024, statewide: Trump 43.1, Harris 54.1. Harris by 11.0.
Lean
D+8 by the Cook partisan index

Facts from Ballotpedia and Wikipedia, in our words. The district on Ballotpedia ↗

▸ Candidates // Read more

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