Lilly_Predicts▌

T-minus 16 days

◀ Back to the seats

● House // Race file

[ House // NJ-08 ]

New Jersey's 8th District

Rob Menendez (D)vsNo candidate

incumbent running · Lean: D+15 · Incumbent: Rob Menendez (D)

Unopposed

No Republican is on the ballot, so the seat goes to Rob Menendez. The model counts it as decided.

  • Seat:Unopposed
  • Lean:D+15
  • Incumbent:Rob Menendez (D)
  • District:8 of 12 in New Jersey
  • Generic ballot:D+8.2
  • T-minus:16 days

▸ Margin // Uncertainty

Menendez +40.8

With one side unopposed the margin is a formality.

Projected margin
Menendez +40.8
Uncertainty
6.2 points, one standard deviation
Likely range
Decided
Poll average
No polls
Starting point
Menendez +40.8 before any polls

▸ Movement // 0 daily snapshots

Reading the history

▸ Polls // None yet

No public polls, and none needed: one side is unopposed. The model marks the seat as decided.

▸ Race file // The facts

The seat
Rob Menendez (D), running for another term.
On the ballot
Rob Menendez (D, incumbent) vs nobody on the Republican side
Last time
2024: Democrat 59.4, Republican 34.6. Menendez by 24.8.
President
2024, statewide: Trump 46.1, Harris 52.0. Harris by 5.9.
Lean
D+15 by the Cook partisan index

Facts from Ballotpedia and Wikipedia, in our words. The district on Ballotpedia ↗

▸ Candidates // Read more

◀ Back to the seats