Lilly_Predicts▌

T-minus 16 days

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● House // Race file

[ House // WI-02 ]

Wisconsin's 2nd District

Mark Pocan (D)vsNo candidate

incumbent running · Lean: D+21 · Incumbent: Mark Pocan (D)

Unopposed

No Republican is on the ballot, so the seat goes to Mark Pocan. The model counts it as decided.

  • Seat:Unopposed
  • Lean:D+21
  • Incumbent:Mark Pocan (D)
  • District:2 of 8 in Wisconsin
  • Generic ballot:D+8.2
  • T-minus:16 days

▸ Margin // Uncertainty

Pocan +51.2

With one side unopposed the margin is a formality.

Projected margin
Pocan +51.2
Uncertainty
6.2 points, one standard deviation
Likely range
Decided
Poll average
No polls
Starting point
Pocan +51.2 before any polls

▸ Movement // 0 daily snapshots

Reading the history

▸ Polls // None yet

No public polls, and none needed: one side is unopposed. The model marks the seat as decided.

▸ Race file // The facts

The seat
Mark Pocan (D), running for another term.
On the ballot
Mark Pocan (D, incumbent) vs nobody on the Republican side
Last time
2024: Democrat 70.1, Republican 29.9. Pocan by 40.2.
President
2024, statewide: Trump 49.6, Harris 48.7. Trump by 0.9.
Lean
D+21 by the Cook partisan index

Facts from Ballotpedia and Wikipedia, in our words. The district on Ballotpedia ↗

▸ Candidates // Read more

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