T-minus 16 days
● House // Race file
[ House // AZ-03 ]
Arizona's 3rd District
Yassamin Ansari (D)vsNo candidate
incumbent running · Lean: D+22 · Incumbent: Yassamin Ansari (D)
Unopposed
No Republican is on the ballot, so the seat goes to Yassamin Ansari. The model counts it as decided.
- Seat:Unopposed
- Lean:D+22
- Incumbent:Yassamin Ansari (D)
- District:3 of 9 in Arizona
- Generic ballot:D+8.2
- T-minus:16 days
▸ Margin // Uncertainty
Ansari +52.9
With one side unopposed the margin is a formality.
- Projected margin
- Ansari +52.9
- Uncertainty
- 6.2 points, one standard deviation
- Likely range
- Decided
- Poll average
- No polls
- Starting point
- Ansari +52.9 before any polls
▸ Movement // 0 daily snapshots
Reading the history
▸ Polls // None yet
No public polls, and none needed: one side is unopposed. The model marks the seat as decided.
▸ Race file // The facts
- The seat
- Yassamin Ansari (D), running for another term.
- On the ballot
- Yassamin Ansari (D, incumbent) vs nobody on the Republican side
- Last time
- 2024: Democrat 70.9, Republican 26.6. Ansari by 44.3.
- President
- 2024, statewide: Trump 52.2, Harris 46.7. Trump by 5.5.
- Lean
- D+22 by the Cook partisan index
Facts from Ballotpedia and Wikipedia, in our words. The district on Ballotpedia ↗
▸ Candidates // Read more
Democrat
Yassamin Ansari
Ansari on Ballotpedia ↗Republican
No candidate
Nobody on the ballot for this side.