Lilly_Predicts▌

T-minus 16 days

◀ Back to the seats

● House // Race file

[ House // CA-14 ]

California's 14th District

Melissa Hernandez (D)vsNo candidate

incumbent running · Lean: D+19 · Incumbent: Aisha Wahab (D)

Unopposed

No Republican is on the ballot, so the seat goes to Melissa Hernandez. The model counts it as decided.

  • Seat:Unopposed
  • Lean:D+19
  • Incumbent:Aisha Wahab (D)
  • District:14 of 52 in California
  • Generic ballot:D+8.2
  • T-minus:16 days

▸ Margin // Uncertainty

Hernandez +47.7

With one side unopposed the margin is a formality.

Projected margin
Hernandez +47.7
Uncertainty
6.2 points, one standard deviation
Likely range
Decided
Poll average
No polls
Starting point
Hernandez +47.7 before any polls

▸ Movement // 0 daily snapshots

Reading the history

▸ Polls // None yet

No public polls, and none needed: one side is unopposed. The model marks the seat as decided.

▸ Race file // The facts

The seat
Aisha Wahab (D), running for another term.
On the ballot
Melissa Hernandez (D) vs nobody on the Republican side
Last time
2024: Democrat 67.8, Republican 32.2. Swalwell by 35.6.
President
2024, statewide: Trump 38.3, Harris 58.5. Harris by 20.1.
Lean
D+19 by the Cook partisan index

Facts from Ballotpedia and Wikipedia, in our words. The district on Ballotpedia ↗

▸ Candidates // Read more

◀ Back to the seats