Lilly_Predicts▌

T-minus 16 days

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● House // Race file

[ House // PA-03 ]

Pennsylvania's 3rd District

Chris Rabb (D)vsNo candidate

open seat · Lean: D+40 · Incumbent: Dwight Evans (D), not running

Unopposed

No Republican is on the ballot, so the seat goes to Chris Rabb. The model counts it as decided.

  • Seat:Unopposed
  • Lean:D+40
  • Incumbent:Dwight Evans (D), not running
  • District:3 of 17 in Pennsylvania
  • Generic ballot:D+8.2
  • T-minus:16 days

▸ Margin // Uncertainty

Rabb +79.5

With one side unopposed the margin is a formality.

Projected margin
Rabb +79.5
Uncertainty
6.2 points, one standard deviation
Likely range
Decided
Poll average
No polls
Starting point
Rabb +79.5 before any polls

▸ Movement // 0 daily snapshots

Reading the history

▸ Polls // None yet

No public polls, and none needed: one side is unopposed. The model marks the seat as decided.

▸ Race file // The facts

The seat
Dwight Evans (D) is retiring. Open seat.
On the ballot
Chris Rabb (D) vs nobody on the Republican side
Last time
2024: Dwight Evans (D) was unopposed.
President
2024, statewide: Trump 50.4, Harris 48.7. Trump by 1.7.
Lean
D+40 by the Cook partisan index

Facts from Ballotpedia and Wikipedia, in our words. The district on Ballotpedia ↗

▸ Candidates // Read more

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