Good morning. Today is Tuesday, October 20th, 2026, and this is your morning brief. The evening edition lands after the close.

Sabato's Crystal Ball moves 28 House races, all toward Democrats.Tossup to Lean D: IA-03, IA-02, WI-03, PA-10, AZ-06, CO-08, AZ-01, NC-01, NC-11 · Lean R to Tossup: TX-35 · Likely R to Lean R: TX-23, NV-02, SC-01, MN-01, CO-04, NY-21 · Safe R to Likely R: IN-05, KS-02, MD-01, NE-01, NJ-02, WA-05 · Lean D to Likely D: CA-48, NH-01, CA-13, NV-03, NY-04, OH-01

Cook Political Report moves the SC Senate race from Likely R to Lean R.

Cook Political Report moves the MS Senate race from Solid R to Likely R.

Cook Political Report moves the MN Senate race from Likely D to Lean D.

Inside Elections moves Texas Senate from Tilt R to Tossup.

Inside Elections moves Kansas Senate from Likely R to Tilt R.

Sabato moves South Carolina Senate from Lean R to Likely R.

Inside Elections moves South Carolina Senate from Likely R to Lean R.

Inside Elections moves the Florida special Senate race from Solid R to Likely R.

Sabato moves New Hampshire Senate from Lean D to Likely D.

Inside Elections moves New Hampshire Senate from Tossup to Tilt D.